longitudinal analysis


This paper presents evidence on two aspects of strike activity
associated with the renegotiation of union contracts: the effects of
contract characteristics on dispute probabilities; and the variation in
strike activity over tine within bargaining pairs. Cross-sectional and
longitudinal estimation techniques show that strike probabilities are
higher in summer and fall than winter and spring. Strike probabilities
are also increased by increasing the length of time between negotiations, and reduced in limited wage reopening negotiations. Finally,
strike probabilities are significantly affected by lagged strike out-
comes. Relative to a peaceful settlement of the previous contract,
strike probabilities are l0 percentage points higher following a strike
of two weeks or less, and 5 to 7 percentage points lower following a
strike of longer than two weeks.

Year of Publication
Date Published
Publication Language
Citation Key
Journal of Labor Economics, 6, April 1988
Card, D. (1986). Longitudinal Analysis of Strike Activity. Retrieved from http://arks.princeton.edu/ark:/88435/dsp01s4655g57s (Original work published August 1986)
Working Papers